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NBA Draft 2010-11

22 Jan

1. Evan Turner – Turner is the best prospect available. He’s versatile, super-athletic, and finishes around the rim with either hand. Leads his team in scoring, rebounds, assists, and steals. Led the Big Ten in scoring, assists, and rebounds until recently. On the year, Turner led the Big Ten in scoring and rebounding. He has good mechanics on his shot, though it is a work in progress. He has good NBA size at 6’7″. When his shot falls, he is absolutely unstoppable. Evan Turner is generally unguardable anyway. He’s adept at driving left or right, but seems to get to the rim more going left. He’s powerful and agile in the lane. He’s very skilled and is a fairly efficient player, despite being a volume shooter

19.9 ppg., 5.9 apg., 9.1 rpg., 1.8 spg., 53.4 FG%, 34.1 3pt.%, 73.4 FT%

Projection: from NBA starter to perenial NBA All-Star

2. John Wall – John Wall is the best point guard in the draft and he has a real chance to be special at the next level. If he were any bigger he’d be my number one overall pick. He’s super-athletic with long arms and a strong frame. Can drive at will or pull up. He also has great touch on all shots in the paint. Wall has good mechanics on his shot and could be a good shooter with a little work. He’s extremely quick with the ball. He’s one of the fastest guys in the nation from baseline to baseline. He is one of two players in college averaging 17 pts. and 6 assists per game. In the SEC, he ranks 3rd in steals, 1st in assists, and 4th in scoring. His apg. average ranks 6th in the nation. He is a true point guard with great vision. Wall is one of the few guys that seem to look to get everyone else involved before he shoots. He has a knack for making big shots and understands the game. He has a real feel for basketball

16.9 ppg., 6.3 apg., 4.2 rpg., 1.7 spg., 46.3 FG%, 31.5 3pt.%, 77.3 FT%

Projection: from NBA starter to perennial NBA All-Star

3. Al-Farouq Aminu – Aminu could be the best player in the draft, he could also be a complete bust. He is 6’9″, with a long wingspan. He’s strong and quick around the basket. He’s very skilled with the basketball and has good footwork, plus he cleans the glass. Under the rim, Aminu doesn’t have a go-to move, so he relies heavily on his superb athleticism and ball fakes. Aminu can handle the ball and became good at taking larger defenders out on the floor, facing up and blowing by them. He ranked as high 7th in the nation in rebounding, he’s now 13th. Aminu will give you a block and a steal or two every game too. The only question surrounding Aminu is his motor. Does he want to dominate every game and will he play hard enough to do it? The talent is there.

15.7 ppg., 1.3 apg., 10.7 rpg., 1.5 spg., 1.5 bpg., 45.3 FG%, 70.5 FT%

Projection: from NBA bench player to perennial NBA All-Star

4. DeMarcus Cousins – Cousins also could be the best player to come out of this draft. He’s 6’11″ with a 7’7″ wingspan. He broke and now owns the national record for double-doubles by a freshman. He has great hands in crowded areas and decent footwork. He rebounds extremely well which translates to the NBA and he finishes above the rim. Can make his own shot in the post or hit the boards and score from putbacks. In the paint, he prefers to make contact, and power over the defense. Cousins needs to develop a short hook shot to complete his game, but he’s difficult to hold without it. He’s extremely powerful under the rim with good quickness and good touch. Cousins is a NBA talent and will stick in the league.

15.5 ppg., 0.9 apg., 10.2 rpg., 1.0 spg., 1.8 bpg., 54.4 FG%, 62.6 FT%

Projection: from NBA starter to perennial NBA All-Star

5. Greg Monroe – Monroe is the most skilled big man in the draft. At center, Greg initiates the Georgetown offense. He has an extremely diverse skill set. He throws the backdoor bounce pass, he can shoot his jumper out to 16 feet, and can penetrate from the top of the key. He has great hands, great footwork and great feel for the game. Monroe is a good college athlete and will be a decent pro. He is more polished than any of the bigs in this draft. He’s stifled slightly by average NBA athleticism, but can overcome that with hard work and grit

16.2 ppg., 3.7 apg., 9.7 rpg., 1.2 spg., 1.5 bpg., 52.3 FG%, 65.3 FT%

Projection: from NBA sixth man to NBA All-Star

6. Xavier Henry – Big-time talent, very athletic. Henry has a good stroke. He can slash and finish at the rim. Shows flashes of absolute brilliance in some games and  is a steady contributor in others. Has NBA size for a 2. Could be a star in the league or could be an average player, that’s the problem with drafting freshman. He is strong on drives to the paint. He can finish with his right, but is better going left and prefers it. Henry has good range and decent touch, but needs more time to be more consistent. He also needs to work on his ball handling.

13.6 ppg., 1.5 apg., 4.2 rpg., 1.5 spg., 45.2 FG%, 41.5 3pt%, 78.9 FT%

Projection: from NBA bench player to NBA All-Star

7. Wesley Johnson – Wesley Johnson is an elite athlete. He might be the most gifted athlete in the draft. He can run and jump with anyone in college basketball, and probably most people in the league. He has NBA size and good touch out to 17 feet and makes the occasional 3 pointer. He can and will finish at the rim. He excels at finishing plays at the rim. Johnson puts a little bit in every statistical category. He’ll block a few shots, rebounds well, gets a few steals and shoots a high percentage. He doesn’t create his own shots though, and thus doesn’t dominate games. He should be an NBA small forward, so he needs to hone his ball handling and increase his shooting range.

16.0 ppg., 2.3 apg., 8.4 rpg., 1.7 spg., 1.9 bpg., 49.2 FG%, 78.1 FT%

Projection: from NBA backup to perennial NBA All

8. Ed Davis – Although hurt all year, Davis is one of the best talents in college basketball. He has NBA size and athleticism, a cartoon-ish wingspan, good footwork, and good touch. He also has great hands in the paint, which is invaluable. He shoots a hook over his right shoulder as a go to move and rarely misses it. He can however finish with either hand in the paint. He’s not a good jump shooter, but since he does have good touch, he can work on that as he goes. Davis rebounds well, and gets a lot points on putbacks, which makes him an efficient player.

12.9 ppg., 0.9 apg., 9.2 rpg., 0.4 spg., 2.7 bpg., 57.8 FG%, 65.9 FT%

Projection: from NBA starter to NBA All Star

9. Cole Aldrich – Cole Aldrich can play basketball. He’s an excellent rebounder and shot-blocker. He’s the backbone of the #1 Kansas squad, and, as a big, he thinks the game. He’s long and athletic and shows good touch around the basket. He has good footwork, and is effective from either block because he can shoot hooks effectively with either hand. He also works for good positioning, which is rare in college basketball and further proof of a high basketball IQ. The mechanics of his jumpshot are horrible, but he can hit it. And his real value is in the lost art of shot-blocking. He blocks them on the ball and from the weakside. He has dominated a few games with his interior presence. Aldrich will be a solid pro and could be a steal if he drops out of the lottery.

11.3 ppg., 0.9 apg., 9.8 rpg., 1.0 spg., 3.5 bpg., 56.2 FG%, 67.9FT%

Projection: from NBA backup to NBA All Star

10. Greivas Vasquez – Vasquez is the other person averaging at least 17 ppg. and 6 apg. He averages 19 and 6. At small forward, he initiates the Maryland offense. He has great vision and plays passionate basketball. He was 4th in the nation in assists as a small forward. He has a good feel for what his offense needs at every point in the game and drives and finishes with either hand. Vasquez is very skilled and becoming more polished. He has 3 point range and shoots a respectable percentage, but he excels at breaking down the defenses creating for himself or teammates.

19.6 ppg., 6.3 apg., 4.6 rpg., 1.7 spg., 42.9 FG%, 85.7 3pt%, 35.9 FT%

Projection: from NBA backup to NBA All Star

11. Derrick Favors – Favors is a super athletic big man. He’s extremely strong with great leaping ability. He rebounds very well and shoots a high percentage. At this point, he can’t create his own shot. He scores solely on guard penetration and putbacks. He’s not completely raw, but he relies on great hands and being a better athlete at this stage of development. Luckily, he’ll be a better athlete than most at the next level too. He needs to develop a hook and/or a short jumper and post footwork.

12.4 ppg., 1.0 apg., 8.4 rpg., 0.9 spg., 2.1 bpg., 61.1 FG%, 62.9 FT%

Projection: from NBA backup to perennial NBA All Star

12. Gani Lawal – Lawal despite being lower on the draftboard, is the better pick of the Georgia Tech big men, in my opinion. He is athletic, though not as gifted as Favors and he can make his own shot. He has been unstoppable at times, in the post. He makes contact and shoots over some defenders and finesses others. He has great hands and great footwork. He uses pump fakes, exceptional quickness, and good strength to get hooks and short jumpers off over all defenders. He’s good on either block, but better on the left block so he can shoot his right handed hook over the middle.

13.1 ppg., 0.4 apg., 8.5 rpg., 0.4 spg., 1.4 bpg., 52.9 FG%, 57.2 FT%

Projection: from NBA backup to NBA All Star

13. Stanley Robinson – Stanley Robinson is an elite athlete. He can jump out of the gym and shows his strength slashing on smaller guards on the perimeter. He also seems to get his averages even in subpar performances, so he knows how to score. With his talent level though, you expect him to dominate. He rarely dominates. He needs a more consistent jumpshot and needs to work on his ball handling skills. He’s very effective with one or two dribbles, but insignificant if he has to more. He rebounds well, but lacks polish and a position.

14.5 ppg., 1.0 apg., 7.6 rpg., 0.8 spg., 1.2 bpg., 52.5 FG%, 62.9 FT%

Projection: from NBA bench player to NBA All Star

14. JaJuan Johnson – Johnson has superior length and good athleticism. He is very quick in the post and shows good touch on short jumpers and jump-hooks. He has range out to about 18 feet on his jumpshot and can block shots too. Johnson is not a great rebounder, but he is a good rebounder. He needs to put some weight to compete at the next level. He has shown good footwork, but he disappears on the court sometimes. With his talent level, he should never drift aimlessly on the court, but he does. He will block a few shots and gets boards, so he has some real value. He also uses his length well around the rim. He needs to gain about 20 lbs. and work on his motor. Reminds me Hakim Warrick at Syracuse

15.5 ppg., 0.7 apg., 7.1 rpg., 0.9 spg., 2.1 bpg., 50.7 FG%, 71.8 FT%

Projection: NBA bench player to NBA starter

15. Eric Bledsoe – He’s a super athlete at point guard. He’s lightning quick and can get off the floor. If he were any taller, he’d fly up this list. The strength of his game is slashing; he’s a terrible jump shooter, but a great set shooter, which tells me that he doesn’t have great touch, but could improve with time. He can score quickly in bunches. He tends to score more in the lane going right, but scores going left too. He reminds me of another athletic Kentucky guard, Tony Delk.

11.3 ppg., 3.0 apg., 3.1 rpg., 1.4 spg., 46.2 FG%, 38.3 3pt%, 66.7 FT%

Projection: from NBA backup to NBA All-Star

16. Da’Sean Butler – Butler is a great athlete with the uncanny ability to slash and get shots up in heavy traffic. His shot looks a bit mechanical and awkward, but he gets good rotation on the ball and can knock down shots out to 3. Butler has NBA size and athleticism with long arms. He’s also taken and made numerous game winners in his career. He is a finisher in the paint, but understands the game enough to create for teammates. If he really learns to shoot the ball, he could be a really good pro.

17.2 ppg., 3.1 apg., 6.2 rpg., 1.0 spg., 41.4 FG%, 35.4 3pt%, 78.9 FT%

Projection: from NBA backup to NBA All-Star

17. Dexter Pittman – Clark Kellogg alluded to this, and I love it, though I rarely think he says anything of note. The space that he uses horizontally, makes up for his average vertical. If you are on Pittman’s hip, he’s already scored. His post moves will translate to the NBA. Unfortunately, so will his poor rebounding. He has never averaged over 6 boards per game. He has superior strength and size at 6’10″, but somehow gets lost during the course of games. That is a function of guard play, but also of desire. Dexter Pittman could be a great pro if his motor improves.

10.4 ppg., 0.5 apg., 5.9 rpg., 0.4 spg., 1.85 bpg., 65.4 FG%, 55.6 FT%

Projection: from NBA bench player to NBA All-Star

18. Scottie Reynolds – Reynolds is a great college point guard. He’s one of the best penetrators in the country and a great floor leader. He has made all the clutch shots for Villanova over the last 4 years. He is a strong guard and knows how to get to his spots on the floor. He plays an attacking style and is very cerebral. With good NBA athleticism, Reynolds could have been the first point taken, but he is an average athlete. He seems to get the most out of his body, though. With the basketball, he controls the pace of the game. And he gets steals too. He understands the game.

18.2 ppg., 3.3 apg., 2.7 rpg., 1.5 spg., 45.7 FG%, 38.5 3pt%, 83.8 FT%

Projection: from NBA bench player to NBA Starter

19. Jon Scheyer – Scheyer is another cerebral point guard, which normally means unathletic, but I think Scheyer is more athletic than he seems. He always gets to his spots, even against guys that look more athletic than him. He never gets his shot blocked, and he creates for his teammates. He’s tall for a point guard even by NBA standards at 6’5″ and he doesn’t commit turnovers. He seems to really understand the game and does not make mistakes. Scheyer drives the lane equally well left or right-handed and pulls up for short jumpers off of pump fakes. That being said he has never shot over 44% from the field which scares me. However, I think Scheyer will be a solid pro.

18.2 ppg., 4.6 apg., 3.6 rpg., 1.6 spg., 39.9 FG%, 38.3 3pt%, 87.8 FT%

Projection: from NBA backup to NBA Starter

20. Ekpe Udoh – Udoh has a chance to be the best Baylor alum ever to play in the NBA. He’s 6’9″ with a long wingspan. He blocks shots from the weakside and on ball. From the center position, he often initiates the Baylor offense. They are a better team when they play through him. He can handle the basketball like a small forward or post up. He has great vision and great hands with good footwork. He is adept at right handed hook from the left block, but is more effective at the top of the key where he can blow by his defender. He has good mechanics and good touch on short jumpers even though he does not take or make a lot of them. Udoh is also a good NBA athlete, but does not rely solely on that. He thinks the game. He needs to be a little more aggressive on the offensive end in the NBA.

13.9 ppg., 2.7 apg., 9.8 rpg., 3.7 bpg., 49.0 FG%, 26.9 3pt%, 68.5 FT%

Projection: from NBA backup to NBA All-Star

21. Omar Samhan – Averaged 21 pts. and 10 rebs. on the year. He has NBA size and spectacular footwork. At 6’10″, he has excellent touch in the paint too. He scores on a variety of moves in the paint. He can shoot jump hooks with either hand, but excels with the right. If a shot is well challenged, he relies on a fall away and scores well with that. He uses drop steps, and seldom dribbles unnecessarily. His footwork is fundamentally sound. He is only hindered by pedestrian athleticism. If he loses 15-20 lbs. it might solve that problem and Samhan could be a great pro.

21.3 ppg., 1.0 apg., 10.9 rpg., 0.4 spg., 2.9 bpg., 55.3 FG%, 72.7 FT%

Projection: from NBA backup to NBA All-Star

22. Damion James – James is a great athlete, but he has spent the last 4 years trying to put it together and find a position. He will be an NBA swingman, but needs to work on his ball handling. One strong suit of James’s is his ability to rebound the basketball. He scores easy put backs on hustle and determination. He has good mechanics on his jumpshot, but not a lot of touch. He looks tight when shooting the basketball, though his form is good. He excels at finishing plays and can do so with either hand.

18.0 ppg., 1.0 apg., 10.0 rpg., 1.4 spg., 1.2 bpg., 50.1 FG, 67.4 FT%

Projection: from NBA bench player to NBA Starter

23. Jarvis Varnado – He is one of the last pure shot blockers. He blocks shots on the ball and from the weakside. His positioning on blocks can improve; he still averaged 5 per game. He’s a little raw offensively, but he has steadily improved every year. He scores well with either hand in the paint. His right handed hook is better than the left. He needs more repetition to better his touch. His footwork has gotten better every year. Unlike most modern day big men, he doesn’t dribble unnecessarily which helps him in the paint. His steady improvement shows his good work ethic and he could be a good pro.

13.8 ppg., 0.9 apg., 10.3 rpg., 0.7 spg., 4.7 bpg., 58.2 FG%, 61.0 FT%

Projection: from NBA backup to NBA Starter

24. Ishmael Smith – Smith is a blur with the basketball. He could be the fastest man in the country from baseline to baseline with the ball. He has elite speed and quickness and excels in the open court. He also has good vision and was one of the leaders in assists in the country. He tends to go right when penetrating, but he can finish well with either hand. His jumpshot is a work in progress, but he does have good mechanics, so it should improve. Smith’s field goal percentage will have to improve to be a great pro, but the potential is there. His real ability is being able to control the pace of the game.

13.2 ppg., 6.0 apg., 4.9 rpg., 1.7 spg., 42.0 FG%, 22.2 3pt%, 49.4 FT%

Projection: from NBA bench to NBA All-Star

25. Isaiah Thomas – Has all the moves to get into the lane. He’s not exceptionally fast, although he is quick and penetrates easily. One on one, defenders cannot take the ball from him. He struggles with double teams with decent size and tends to turn the basketball over in them. He has good range on his jumper and hits big shots. He’s excellent driving left and not as efficient going right, but he can finish either way

16.9 ppg., 3.1 apg., 3.9 rpg., 1.1 spg., 41.5 FG%, 32.7 3pt%, 73.2 FT%

Projection: NBA backup

26. Jordan Hamilton – Hamilton has great NBA size and talent. If you built an NBA 2 in a lab from a physical standpoint, he’s what you would engineer. He is 6’6″ with a 7′ wingspan. He can leap and has one of the most attractive strokes in college basketball. His mechanics and touch are perfect, his shot looks effortless, and he has range out to 25 feet. The problem is that he tries to prove that every game by taking a 25 footer. His shot selection is absolutely horrible. He will the ball at any time. In double teams, contested from deep, fadeaway 3′s, turnaround 3′s, nothing is off limits. He does not really think or understand the game. He also does not handle the basketball well. He needs work, but there may be a big payoff.

10.0 ppg., 1.5 apg., 3.7 rpg., 0.8 spg., 41.0 FG%, 36.5 3pt%, 57.8 FT%

Projection: from NBA bench player to NBA All-Star

27. Sherron Collins – Collins is a great college guard, he’s diminutive by NBA standards though. He has excellent quickness, deep range, and can penetrate. One of his biggest strengths is actually his strength in the air after driving into the paint. He can take contact and score and does it equally well with either hand. He willingly takes and makes clutch shots. Collins can get his jumpshot anytime he wants it. He has good vision too. He is better at creating his own shot than creating for others.

15.5 ppg., 4.5 apg., 2.1 rpg., 1.1 spg., 42.6 FG%, 37.0 3pt%, 85.5 FT%

Projection: from NBA bench player to NBA backup

28. Avery Bradley – Bradley has good mechanics on his shots, but has not shown a lot of touch and thus has not shot a high percentage this year. He has shown that he can get to his spots on the court and get off good shots though. Bradley is a good athlete and may be the best Texas defender. He has good lateral quickness and good positioning. He takes the right shots, he just needs more repetition, so he’ll make more.

11.6 ppg., 2.1 apg., 2.9 rpg., 1.3 spg., 43.2 FG%, 37.5 3pt%, 54.5 FT%

Projection: from NBA bench player to NBA starter

29. Jerome Dyson – Dyson is an athletic wing who can slash and finish in traffic. He can hit the occasional three pointer, though his jumper is very inconsistent. He has good mechanics, but does not show a lot of touch which makes me question his work ethic. He can be dazzling or completely disappointing. He scores easily going right and tends to use his right hand on the left side of the rim also, even though he scores adeptly with the left. He rebounds well for a guard and draws a lot fouls on drives to the paint. He needs to spend the summer steadying his jumpshot. He could end up the steal of the draft if he falls to thge second round.

17.2 ppg., 4.2 apg., 4.4 rpg., 1.4 spg., 39.1 FG%, 29.4 3pt%, 71.4 FT%

Projection: from NBA bench player to NBA All-Star

30. Devan Downey – One of the best scorers in the nation despite being 5’8″. He has quickness and explosion coupled with great pace. He has deep range on the 3 and the ability to bump floaters off the glass or get his jumper at will. He also has good vision. He creates shots for teammates and gets them the ball. He scores going left or right, but prefers going left. In college, he was a bit of a volume scorer, but it was more out of necessity than selfishness. He reminds me a lot of Earl Boykins. He’s just a good basketball player regardless of his size.

22.5 ppg., 3.5 apg., 3.3 rpg., 2.7 spg., 40.0 FG%, 34.2 3pt%, 83.4 FT%

Projection: from NBA backup to NBA starter

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