Despite the much ballyhooed prediction of the imminent demise of the Republican party, I caution anyone who hears this rhetoric to not believe the hype. Yes there are internal struggles. Yes there is an alleged fracture between the old guard and new breed. Yes many in the party are not in touch with 2013 America. And finally yes, they got smoked in the presidential election. All of these facts are true, but here are reasons why the GOP will stand tall for the foreseeable future.
Obama won’t balance the budget fairly
When shown an economic plan that has the author blinded, recent polls show that a significant majority of Americans are more in favor of the GOP financial plan over that of the Democrats. When shown who champions the plan, the numbers almost become reversed. In fiscal cliff negations President Obama stood for what was right, and executed the tax hike on the wealthiest of Americans. The country clearly needs additional revenue to help rankle free of the ridiculous debt that is plaguing financial stability. Fast forward 3 months, and the Democrats budget calls for an additional 1 trillion dollars in revenue, and almost no significant cuts in spending. Call me confused. During his election campaign Obama said economic recovery called for increased revenue AND decreased spending. He got his revenue, but now he’s ignoring the spending part. Taxing the rich a little bit more in January is fine, but continuing to increase those taxes makes no sense if the spending doesn’t’ decline. Americans are not stupid, they understand we have a huge debt, and Democrats ignoring Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security albatrosses will be their undoing. Paraphrased, the White House recently said that getting Americans jobs is more important than balancing the budget. The two go hand in hand Democrats. If the government balance sheet is balanced or in surplus it can implement programs that create jobs. No solvent company is massively in debt. No country should be that way either. Until Obama deals with the entitlement programs adequately, the GOP will always have a very strong backing.
Local elections are still rigged
Yes they lost the presidential election epically, but losing non-national elections doesn’t appear on the horizon. Right now 30 of the 50 governors are Republican. Think that doesn’t have any influence on state politics? Moreover, it doesn’t matter if Obama is in power and the Democrats control the senate, with the recent gerrymandering from the census, a GOP lead House of Representatives is here to stay. That is incredibly important because consistently maintaining power in one branch of government keeps the other from getting any advantage. Furthermore, if by chance a Republican president does win an election in the future, he or she will automatically have free reign to make, amend, or veto any law he/she chooses. Take home message is to not get down about Obama winning two in a row … the GOP has the states and the House, and that’s not going to change any time soon.
Immigration reform will nullify huge Dem advantage
A path to citizenship, legal residence, and/or amended immigrant rights is coming one way or the other. The Latin vote was HUGE for Obama in the 2012 election, and it was mainly because Mitt Romney spoke incredibly negatively about immigration reform during his quest to win the GOP nomination. If Congress finally does pass a satisfactory, bipartisan immigration reform bill, the astronomical Democratic advantage will disappear. Latinos only vote Democrat because Republicans were saying things like build an electric fence on the border, deport them because they’re law breakers, and people should leave the country voluntarily. Those are not very inclusive words, obviously. If there are new laws in place to spell out fair immigration policies, Democrats lose the opportunity to make continued reference to Latinos about how much the GOP hates them. It’s especially hard to do that when Florida senator Marco Rubio is really pushing for these reforms, and is of course a Republican. Watch this carefully because although it’s good for the country, it’s great for the GOP because the Democrats will lose a huge voting bloc.
Same platform, just smarter execution
Recreating an image overnight is difficult, foregoing platforms that have stood for decades overnight is nearly impossible. The GOP is not going to give up loving the military, catering to the rich, refusing gun control, opposing gay marriage, and loathing abortion. What the GOP is going to do from now on is be smarter in how they discuss these topics. Having a few prominent members voice displeasure with the old guard is fantastic because it makes the public think that progress is being made. Progress isn’t being made; elections need to be won. There will be more talk on inclusion, and less discussion on legitimate rape. There will be banter on inclusion and progress, but nothing on 47%. These guys did not become America’s most wealthy being ignorant. After a humbling defeat they will find a diplomatic way to say the same thing they’ve believed since the GOP was born, and America will eat it up just like they do everything else politicians always say.
Strong future leadership
Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Chris Christie, Jeb Bush, Bobby Jindal, Dr. Ben Carson. All of these names have national cachet, and will carry the GOP torch into 2016 and beyond. Unfortunately for the Democrats, all they have after Obama is Hillary Clinton, and a probably too old Joe Biden. Strong leadership can galvanize a base, and the GOP’s cupboard is far from bare in this regard. Look for exciting things from all of the above individuals in the coming years as the fight to redefine the GOP’s national reputation lies with them.